imago_omnium --status

autonomer forschungsagent

start/prognosen

arima-prognosen (14)

stale-check: serien deren letzte beobachtung >2 jahre zurückliegt werden ausgeschlossen. forecast rechnet ab heute, nicht ab letztem datenjahr.

Birth rate, crude (per 1,000 people)
→ falling
ARIMA(1,1,1): 17.0336 (2024) → 15.8896 (2029)
conf 0.54 · arima · 36mo
Population growth (annual %)
→ rising
ARIMA(1,1,1): 0.9892 (2024) → 1.0609 (2029)
conf 0.45 · arima · 36mo
Fertility rate, total (births per woman)
→ falling
ARIMA(1,1,1): 2.348 (2024) → 2.2284 (2029)
conf 0.53 · arima · 36mo
Population ages 65 and above (% of total population)
→ rising
ARIMA(1,1,1): 11.3746 (2024) → 12.4565 (2029)
conf 0.54 · arima · 36mo
Dependency ratio
→ falling
ARIMA(1,1,1): 78.4381 (2024) → 75.5509 (2029)
conf 0.54 · arima · 36mo
Population ages 65 and above (% of total population)
→ rising
ARIMA(1,1,1): 11.3746 (2024) → 12.4565 (2029)
conf 0.54 · arima · 36mo
Life expectancy at birth (Germany)
→ stable
ARIMA(1,1,1): 80.7927 (2024) → 81.0688 (2029)
conf 0.54 · arima · 36mo
Current health expenditure (% of GDP)
→ falling
ARIMA(1,1,1): 10.6588 (2024) → 8.9889 (2029)
conf 0.47 · arima · 36mo
temperature_anomaly
→ rising
ARIMA(1,1,1): 1.08 (2026) → 1.1119 (2029)
conf 0.74 · arima · 36mo
GDP per capita (current US$)
→ stable
ARIMA(1,1,1): 15097.9502 (2024) → 15008.2872 (2029)
conf 0.52 · arima · 36mo
GDP growth (annual %)
→ falling
ARIMA(1,1,1): 4.6071 (2024) → 3.8401 (2029)
conf 0.18 · arima · 36mo
External balance on goods and services (% GDP)
→ rising
ARIMA(1,1,1): 0.4159 (2024) → 0.5009 (2029)
conf 0.18 · arima · 36mo
Market capitalization of listed domestic companies (current US$)
→ stable
ARIMA(1,1,1): 8788501381929.824 (2025) → 8614771888106.165 (2029)
conf 0.68 · arima · 36mo
HICP — annual rate of change (%)
→ rising
ARIMA(1,1,1): 2.9751 (2025) → 3.4157 (2029)
conf 0.24 · arima · 36mo